Will more companies be shutting down in the next 12-24 months?

Suns_PSD
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Austin, TX US
23 hours ago

I wonder why Gates hasn't tried to expand into the motorcycle market, would seem like the upside would be huge? Could save weight, be cleaner, be quieter, etc. At least on commuter bikes.

Robbie420
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Kamloops CA
22 hours ago
Suns_PSD wrote:
I wonder why Gates hasn't tried to expand into the motorcycle market, would seem like the upside would be huge? Could save weight, be cleaner, be...

I wonder why Gates hasn't tried to expand into the motorcycle market, would seem like the upside would be huge? Could save weight, be cleaner, be quieter, etc. At least on commuter bikes.

They are in the MC market. Harley, BMW, Suzuki, and Kawasaki all make belt driven bikes.

4
sspomer
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Boise, ID US
22 hours ago

@jeff.brines - from the gates PR below - gives some hints as to their objective - i could see DH being a place to test real-world durability under extreme conditions/stresses.

Belt Drive Technology Leading the Charge in Micromobility

Gates Belt Drive technology is transforming personal and micromobility solutions worldwide. From bicycles and electric bikes to scooters and motorcycles, Gates’ innovative belt drive systems offer grease-free, rust-free, and low maintenance solutions tailored for high performance and durability. The Gates Carbon Drive system stands out as the market's best high-mileage bicycle drive, delivering exceptional reliability for urban commuters, mountain bikers, eBike riders, and casual cruisers alike.

By partnering with top downhill teams, Gates brings its materials science and engineering expertise to the forefront of the sport, challenging traditional chain-driven systems and inspiring a new era of innovation in competitive cycling. For more information about Gates Belt Drive technology or for official €100K Belted Purse contest rules, visit www.gatesbeltdrive.com. #GatesMTB100K #GatesBeltDrive

3
jeff.brines
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Grand Junction, CO US
22 hours ago
Suns_PSD wrote:
I wonder why Gates hasn't tried to expand into the motorcycle market, would seem like the upside would be huge? Could save weight, be cleaner, be...

I wonder why Gates hasn't tried to expand into the motorcycle market, would seem like the upside would be huge? Could save weight, be cleaner, be quieter, etc. At least on commuter bikes.

I know Harley is belt driven. As to dirt bikes, not sure. I'm sure you could make it work, but chains are just so reliable, cheap, and functional. Hell, I don't even lube my dirt bike chain (ever) and it works well over 200 hours. Crazy. 

You all interested in a belt drive gearbox thread? I am tempted to take this off the rails talking about it, and I'm so curious if anyone had real world experience with them, that we'll end up in a totally different place quickly.

Paging @sspomer 

1
Robbie420
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Kamloops CA
22 hours ago
Suns_PSD wrote:
I wonder why Gates hasn't tried to expand into the motorcycle market, would seem like the upside would be huge? Could save weight, be cleaner, be...

I wonder why Gates hasn't tried to expand into the motorcycle market, would seem like the upside would be huge? Could save weight, be cleaner, be quieter, etc. At least on commuter bikes.

I know Harley is belt driven. As to dirt bikes, not sure. I'm sure you could make it work, but chains are just so reliable, cheap...

I know Harley is belt driven. As to dirt bikes, not sure. I'm sure you could make it work, but chains are just so reliable, cheap, and functional. Hell, I don't even lube my dirt bike chain (ever) and it works well over 200 hours. Crazy. 

You all interested in a belt drive gearbox thread? I am tempted to take this off the rails talking about it, and I'm so curious if anyone had real world experience with them, that we'll end up in a totally different place quickly.

Paging @sspomer 

Gearbox thread is a good idea 

1
dolface
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CA US
22 hours ago
Suns_PSD wrote:
I wonder why Gates hasn't tried to expand into the motorcycle market, would seem like the upside would be huge? Could save weight, be cleaner, be...

I wonder why Gates hasn't tried to expand into the motorcycle market, would seem like the upside would be huge? Could save weight, be cleaner, be quieter, etc. At least on commuter bikes.

I know Harley is belt driven. As to dirt bikes, not sure. I'm sure you could make it work, but chains are just so reliable, cheap...

I know Harley is belt driven. As to dirt bikes, not sure. I'm sure you could make it work, but chains are just so reliable, cheap, and functional. Hell, I don't even lube my dirt bike chain (ever) and it works well over 200 hours. Crazy. 

You all interested in a belt drive gearbox thread? I am tempted to take this off the rails talking about it, and I'm so curious if anyone had real world experience with them, that we'll end up in a totally different place quickly.

Paging @sspomer 

Robbie420 wrote:

Gearbox thread is a good idea 

5
Robbie420
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22 hours ago
jonkranked wrote:
personally, i'm of the opinion (and others seem to be as well) is that once you can mate / integrate a gearbox with an e-bike motor...

personally, i'm of the opinion (and others seem to be as well) is that once you can mate / integrate a gearbox with an e-bike motor the floodgates would probably open up.

amaranth wrote:

Pinion already has that, the MGU, and it...uhm, hasn't really taken off. 

jonkranked wrote:
was not aware they had one, thanks for the info.  perused the pinion site, aside from commuter and cargo bikes, it appears the only brands making...

was not aware they had one, thanks for the info.  perused the pinion site, aside from commuter and cargo bikes, it appears the only brands making MTBs with it are nicolai, rotwild, bulls, and some company named flyer.  

https://pinion.eu/en/bike-selection/#filter=.bike-getriebe-322

Trinity bikes can use Pinion GB's. But they can also use Effigear and the WRP one being developed 

1
sethimus
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CH
20 hours ago
jonkranked wrote:
personally, i'm of the opinion (and others seem to be as well) is that once you can mate / integrate a gearbox with an e-bike motor...

personally, i'm of the opinion (and others seem to be as well) is that once you can mate / integrate a gearbox with an e-bike motor the floodgates would probably open up.

amaranth wrote:

Pinion already has that, the MGU, and it...uhm, hasn't really taken off. 

jonkranked wrote:
was not aware they had one, thanks for the info.  perused the pinion site, aside from commuter and cargo bikes, it appears the only brands making...

was not aware they had one, thanks for the info.  perused the pinion site, aside from commuter and cargo bikes, it appears the only brands making MTBs with it are nicolai, rotwild, bulls, and some company named flyer.  

https://pinion.eu/en/bike-selection/#filter=.bike-getriebe-322

add simplon, tout terrain

1
1
sweaman22
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Calgary , AB CA
14 hours ago

Soft apparel but saw on another website speculation around 661

2
boozed
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AU
10 hours ago

I couldn't figure out where to post this because it's not really about a company shutting down, but it also doesn't make sense in the team rumours or tech/innovation threads.

Pushy's (the Australian YT distributor) is rumoured (per a reddit comment) to not be restocking YT once the current stock is sold out.  Concurrently, YT's website no longer lists Australia as a selectable region and the former au URL simply redirects to the main www one.

8 hours ago
boozed wrote:
I couldn't figure out where to post this because it's not really about a company shutting down, but it also doesn't make sense in the team...

I couldn't figure out where to post this because it's not really about a company shutting down, but it also doesn't make sense in the team rumours or tech/innovation threads.

Pushy's (the Australian YT distributor) is rumoured (per a reddit comment) to not be restocking YT once the current stock is sold out.  Concurrently, YT's website no longer lists Australia as a selectable region and the former au URL simply redirects to the main www one.

Assuming yt is taking over to handle it themselves like they did in America a while back now.

3
7 hours ago Edited Date/Time 7 hours ago

From an outside perspective (with absolutely no clue of internal finances) it would seem to me that YT is probably up there with Trek and Specialized as far as brands I would imagine will weather the current environment just fine. But that’s entirely speculative. They seem to be pretty smart as far as bike releases go, run a frame for a while make special “drop” versions (Uncaged models?) to bring in a little hype, and seem to keep their product overlap to a minimum.

To keep the hype speculative train going @jeff.brines what do you make of Evil bikes at this point? Seems they’ve been awful quiet lately and nothing new released in a while, lots of sales but not a lot of other hype coming out of their social media or anywhere else. Could they be struggling as well? Does anyone know if Kevin Walsh is still involved with the business?

2
boozed
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AU
6 hours ago Edited Date/Time 6 hours ago
boozed wrote:
I couldn't figure out where to post this because it's not really about a company shutting down, but it also doesn't make sense in the team...

I couldn't figure out where to post this because it's not really about a company shutting down, but it also doesn't make sense in the team rumours or tech/innovation threads.

Pushy's (the Australian YT distributor) is rumoured (per a reddit comment) to not be restocking YT once the current stock is sold out.  Concurrently, YT's website no longer lists Australia as a selectable region and the former au URL simply redirects to the main www one.

Assuming yt is taking over to handle it themselves like they did in America a while back now.

YT used to be DtC in Australia, before signing the agreement with Pushy's a few years ago.  Prices went up significantly as a result, and a friend of mine had a hell of a time getting replacement parts for a YT that he bought from Pushy's.  If it really is ending, presumably it hasn't worked out for one or both parties.

1
6 hours ago
From an outside perspective (with absolutely no clue of internal finances) it would seem to me that YT is probably up there with Trek and Specialized...

From an outside perspective (with absolutely no clue of internal finances) it would seem to me that YT is probably up there with Trek and Specialized as far as brands I would imagine will weather the current environment just fine. But that’s entirely speculative. They seem to be pretty smart as far as bike releases go, run a frame for a while make special “drop” versions (Uncaged models?) to bring in a little hype, and seem to keep their product overlap to a minimum.

To keep the hype speculative train going @jeff.brines what do you make of Evil bikes at this point? Seems they’ve been awful quiet lately and nothing new released in a while, lots of sales but not a lot of other hype coming out of their social media or anywhere else. Could they be struggling as well? Does anyone know if Kevin Walsh is still involved with the business?

Dunno, but if you're cutting costs, the marketing cost of social media hype is really cheap compared to most of the more traditional forms of marketing.

Etney
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Freiburg DE
4 hours ago
From an outside perspective (with absolutely no clue of internal finances) it would seem to me that YT is probably up there with Trek and Specialized...

From an outside perspective (with absolutely no clue of internal finances) it would seem to me that YT is probably up there with Trek and Specialized as far as brands I would imagine will weather the current environment just fine. But that’s entirely speculative. They seem to be pretty smart as far as bike releases go, run a frame for a while make special “drop” versions (Uncaged models?) to bring in a little hype, and seem to keep their product overlap to a minimum.

To keep the hype speculative train going @jeff.brines what do you make of Evil bikes at this point? Seems they’ve been awful quiet lately and nothing new released in a while, lots of sales but not a lot of other hype coming out of their social media or anywhere else. Could they be struggling as well? Does anyone know if Kevin Walsh is still involved with the business?

And not to forget, their bikes are often like a third of the price of other top end brands "best" models as well.

I have however noticed them equipping the latest models slightly different though, more specifically when it comes to wheels. 

In the past, most of their highest core models, or uncaged models had carbon wheels. From what I can see now on their page, none of their bikes have carbon wheels. And only one bike is specced with an X0 transmission groupset, the rest has GX stuff.

Suspension components etc do still seem on the high end. But its quite noticeable that they have pulled back on speccing the best parts in every slot, as they did a few years ago with their highest core/uncaged bike. 

I would still say the value is very good for the most part. I even know some people who have bought YT bikes on sale, just to take the parts of them for a new bike build, and it has been significantly cheaper than buying parts outright. Then just selling the frame for a decent price. 

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