2025 Team Rumors

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kevroberts
Posts
70
Joined
11/1/2013
Location
Wirral GB
1 day ago
chriskief wrote:
For those playing along at home, here’s where we stand with the most ridiculous rumors so far…#3 - Phoebe Gale off FMD, going to Reece Wilson’s...

For those playing along at home, here’s where we stand with the most ridiculous rumors so far…

#3 - Phoebe Gale off FMD, going to Reece Wilson’s new AON team, after being prominently featured in the Orbea FMD press release.

#2 - Aaron Gwin back to mentor the kids on lower budget Trek Factory after becoming a partner in Crestline bikes last year.

#1 - Old man Dan Atherton returning to stomp $$$ DH podiums on a prototype belt drive after his most recent 57th at a 2018 Crankworx stop.

There’s a few others close to the top 3, but unfortunately we’re no longer doing 5 rider podiums.

chriskief wrote:
Alright, back to having a little bit of fun...In a surprise to many, the #3 Phoebe Gale rumor turns out to be false. She is sticking...

Alright, back to having a little bit of fun...

In a surprise to many, the #3 Phoebe Gale rumor turns out to be false. She is sticking with FMD as predicted by... the Orbea FMD press release.

However, #1 is still going strong with Atherton confirmed on Gates. Come on Dan, time for a come back! Get that bag!

chriskief wrote:
With Trek's announcement today, it looks like #2 "Gwin back to Trek" fantasies have come to an end. Perhaps being a part owner of another bike...

With Trek's announcement today, it looks like #2 "Gwin back to Trek" fantasies have come to an end. Perhaps being a part owner of another bike company was a deal breaker.

All eyes on you Dan Atherton.

Is the Dan Atherton World Cup comeback and win this year the new Leicester City winning the premier league title from a few years back?


I’ll take a fiver at 5000/1 or whatever the odds were back then!

4
1 day ago

Does anyone have insight on additional financial support for all these teams switching to belt drives? It doesn't seem like the low (and further decreasing) probability of winning a mere $100,000 would move the needle any meaningful amount. The most plausible reasons would be additional sponsorship funds from the belt associated brands or hoping to take advantage of the seemingly disproportionate publicity about the $100,000 prize. Additional sponsorship seems most likely, wondering if that's documented anywhere.

11
Stunnanumma1
Posts
120
Joined
12/29/2019
Location
Chevy Chase, MD US
1 day ago
Does anyone have insight on additional financial support for all these teams switching to belt drives? It doesn't seem like the low (and further decreasing) probability...

Does anyone have insight on additional financial support for all these teams switching to belt drives? It doesn't seem like the low (and further decreasing) probability of winning a mere $100,000 would move the needle any meaningful amount. The most plausible reasons would be additional sponsorship funds from the belt associated brands or hoping to take advantage of the seemingly disproportionate publicity about the $100,000 prize. Additional sponsorship seems most likely, wondering if that's documented anywhere.

As I have said, no way do the financials add up: to produce a fleet of bikes for a team is more than 100k. Something else is going on. Plus, half these teams realize they will not win it.

7
owl-x
Posts
435
Joined
3/23/2016
Location
Seattle, WA US
1 day ago

Yeah. I’d bet this would probably fall under some of those nebulous selection criteria for teams 16-20. The one about sponsors. It’s getting icky!

dwhere
Posts
65
Joined
10/5/2023
Location
dirty, DE US
1 day ago
Does anyone have insight on additional financial support for all these teams switching to belt drives? It doesn't seem like the low (and further decreasing) probability...

Does anyone have insight on additional financial support for all these teams switching to belt drives? It doesn't seem like the low (and further decreasing) probability of winning a mere $100,000 would move the needle any meaningful amount. The most plausible reasons would be additional sponsorship funds from the belt associated brands or hoping to take advantage of the seemingly disproportionate publicity about the $100,000 prize. Additional sponsorship seems most likely, wondering if that's documented anywhere.

As I have said, no way do the financials add up: to produce a fleet of bikes for a team is more than 100k. Something else...

As I have said, no way do the financials add up: to produce a fleet of bikes for a team is more than 100k. Something else is going on. Plus, half these teams realize they will not win it.

As others have said, maybe because they actually think its going to make the difference in winning races and competing? Free shifting, weight distribution, unsprung mass. 

If one of these teams wins, it doesn't just get them 100k, it buys the team/brand credibility. If gearbox bikes come out of this year with a 2 wins and a few podiums, your not interested? Crazy how much skepticism something new and progressive is getting. 

 

13
groghunter
Posts
87
Joined
5/18/2013
Location
Tucson, AZ US
1 day ago
Does anyone have insight on additional financial support for all these teams switching to belt drives? It doesn't seem like the low (and further decreasing) probability...

Does anyone have insight on additional financial support for all these teams switching to belt drives? It doesn't seem like the low (and further decreasing) probability of winning a mere $100,000 would move the needle any meaningful amount. The most plausible reasons would be additional sponsorship funds from the belt associated brands or hoping to take advantage of the seemingly disproportionate publicity about the $100,000 prize. Additional sponsorship seems most likely, wondering if that's documented anywhere.

As I have said, no way do the financials add up: to produce a fleet of bikes for a team is more than 100k. Something else...

As I have said, no way do the financials add up: to produce a fleet of bikes for a team is more than 100k. Something else is going on. Plus, half these teams realize they will not win it.

dwhere wrote:
As others have said, maybe because they actually think its going to make the difference in winning races and competing? Free shifting, weight distribution, unsprung mass. If...

As others have said, maybe because they actually think its going to make the difference in winning races and competing? Free shifting, weight distribution, unsprung mass. 

If one of these teams wins, it doesn't just get them 100k, it buys the team/brand credibility. If gearbox bikes come out of this year with a 2 wins and a few podiums, your not interested? Crazy how much skepticism something new and progressive is getting. 

 

If that happens, a good chunk of the major teams will be on a gearbox bike before the end of the season.  trendchasing gets "ignore all other logic they're beating us!!!" in WCDH real quick.

jonkranked
Posts
824
Joined
5/5/2016
Location
Norristown, PA US
1 day ago
As I have said, no way do the financials add up: to produce a fleet of bikes for a team is more than 100k. Something else...

As I have said, no way do the financials add up: to produce a fleet of bikes for a team is more than 100k. Something else is going on. Plus, half these teams realize they will not win it.

in the case of ms / zerode, those are already production frames (incl the belt drive). 

1
Grofko741
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5
Joined
10/7/2024
Location
Kosice SK
1 day ago

Okay , so what is still unknow? Cami situation with yeti ? and pivot team? Something else ? 

3
1 day ago

It’s been very quiet from Pivot/BK, about their lineup for 2025….anyone got any rumours?

Since my post was previously deleted… I’m sure Pivot team management are on the lookout for the brightest, most eager young stars to bring into the family 🙏

9
5
Bananamoon
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Location
Ulricehamn SE
1 day ago
Grofko741 wrote:

Okay , so what is still unknow? Cami situation with yeti ? and pivot team? Something else ? 

Anything on Cube Factory Racing? Max Hartenstern and Jess Blewitt are the only names i remember.

1 day ago
dwhere wrote:
As others have said, maybe because they actually think its going to make the difference in winning races and competing? Free shifting, weight distribution, unsprung mass. If...

As others have said, maybe because they actually think its going to make the difference in winning races and competing? Free shifting, weight distribution, unsprung mass. 

If one of these teams wins, it doesn't just get them 100k, it buys the team/brand credibility. If gearbox bikes come out of this year with a 2 wins and a few podiums, your not interested? Crazy how much skepticism something new and progressive is getting. 

 

If there was a performance increase I would expect more teams to have switched over prior to this $100,000 prize. I haven't heard of some simultaneous major technology improvement. Hopefully there is! Just seems like they would talk about it a bit more in addition to the $100,000 prize.

Samwell
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36
Joined
8/31/2009
Location
N/A FR
1 day ago

AON team composition, New addition to mondraker ?, to continental atherton ? Maples stays at muc off or not ? Someone talked about a forbidden team in the top 15 ?

6
metadave
Posts
1036
Joined
2/15/2016
Location
CA
1 day ago
Does anyone have insight on additional financial support for all these teams switching to belt drives? It doesn't seem like the low (and further decreasing) probability...

Does anyone have insight on additional financial support for all these teams switching to belt drives? It doesn't seem like the low (and further decreasing) probability of winning a mere $100,000 would move the needle any meaningful amount. The most plausible reasons would be additional sponsorship funds from the belt associated brands or hoping to take advantage of the seemingly disproportionate publicity about the $100,000 prize. Additional sponsorship seems most likely, wondering if that's documented anywhere.

As I have said, no way do the financials add up: to produce a fleet of bikes for a team is more than 100k. Something else...

As I have said, no way do the financials add up: to produce a fleet of bikes for a team is more than 100k. Something else is going on. Plus, half these teams realize they will not win it.

Yes, something else is happening. All of the following is a guess, but I think a pretty good one. 

Gates, a company already well known for Motorcycle belts and that according to google, has $830m in revenue but has only dabbled in cycling in the fringes for years is saying LFG. They likely want in on the E-bike market as mixed motors/drivetrains evolve and full power E-bikes ditch derailleurs because lets be honest, traditional drivetrains just don't hold up as well under an e-bike mashing, and they know DH is going to test the to the limits. This is going to be their entry point and they likely know E-bikes will switch over to a more inside motor based drivetrain in the next few years as the designs improve. 

Pinion already has units that can do it, and I bet Bosch, Brose (Spesh/Sram) and others will have matching stuff soon. Gates wants to drive the acceptance of belts as a standard, that they are built to last, and are just as good as chains without the hassle. Like anything else, best examples right now being electric cars or private space flight, it'll start out crude and with lots of room for improvement, but with people using them, suddenly have lots of investment to drive R&D, and as they get better, that's when you'll start to see wider acceptance and better performance. 

This is the only thing that really makes sense with the project, as lighter weight bikes using gear boxes doesn't make a ton of sense unless they can get the weight down to current DT weights and prices, but E-bikes using a complete motor drivetrain with a belt absolutely makes sense and they're willing to put up cash not only to these teams, but sponsor them as well, I'm betting footing a pretty big bill for each if they were doing a whole press release with all the teams they had on their roster. IFR was on the ropes and now they have new and bigger name riders, AON coming out of no where with likely a stacked team, Atherton coming back in from everything thinking they weren't even going to be a team next year and MS doesn't really mess around with trying to get the best deals, or he wouldn't have had a top team thats been around for almost 20 years. It kind of starts to make sense that they switched to a company as small as Zerode if Gates wanted a 4th manufacturer to sponsor with a top team after Intense built that bike for them and there's one sitting there, ready to go.

It's Gates-gate...

 

MV5BNzIxZmIzYjEtZGMyZi00NDAwLWJmODktYTAwOWU2ZjkwZjdlXkEyXkFqcGc%40. V1
29
1
1 day ago
kevroberts wrote:
Is the Dan Atherton World Cup comeback and win this year the new Leicester City winning the premier league title from a few years back?I’ll take...

Is the Dan Atherton World Cup comeback and win this year the new Leicester City winning the premier league title from a few years back?


I’ll take a fiver at 5000/1 or whatever the odds were back then!

The new Leicester winning the prem is Forest winning the prem lol. Btw, COYR!

2
groghunter
Posts
87
Joined
5/18/2013
Location
Tucson, AZ US
1 day ago Edited Date/Time 1 day ago
dwhere wrote:
As others have said, maybe because they actually think its going to make the difference in winning races and competing? Free shifting, weight distribution, unsprung mass. If...

As others have said, maybe because they actually think its going to make the difference in winning races and competing? Free shifting, weight distribution, unsprung mass. 

If one of these teams wins, it doesn't just get them 100k, it buys the team/brand credibility. If gearbox bikes come out of this year with a 2 wins and a few podiums, your not interested? Crazy how much skepticism something new and progressive is getting. 

 

If there was a performance increase I would expect more teams to have switched over prior to this $100,000 prize. I haven't heard of some simultaneous...

If there was a performance increase I would expect more teams to have switched over prior to this $100,000 prize. I haven't heard of some simultaneous major technology improvement. Hopefully there is! Just seems like they would talk about it a bit more in addition to the $100,000 prize.

See my above about trendchasing, though.  WCDH has had more than a few "that'll never catch on" followed by "we're obviously all doing this in the next 3 months because someone is doing it and winning" moments in the past. all of the recent wheelsize changes had very quick adoption once someone won or podiumed on it.

3
kevroberts
Posts
70
Joined
11/1/2013
Location
Wirral GB
1 day ago
dwhere wrote:
As others have said, maybe because they actually think its going to make the difference in winning races and competing? Free shifting, weight distribution, unsprung mass. If...

As others have said, maybe because they actually think its going to make the difference in winning races and competing? Free shifting, weight distribution, unsprung mass. 

If one of these teams wins, it doesn't just get them 100k, it buys the team/brand credibility. If gearbox bikes come out of this year with a 2 wins and a few podiums, your not interested? Crazy how much skepticism something new and progressive is getting. 

 

If there was a performance increase I would expect more teams to have switched over prior to this $100,000 prize. I haven't heard of some simultaneous...

If there was a performance increase I would expect more teams to have switched over prior to this $100,000 prize. I haven't heard of some simultaneous major technology improvement. Hopefully there is! Just seems like they would talk about it a bit more in addition to the $100,000 prize.

The simple answer has already been pointed out….


Cash money (sponsorship from SRAM and/or Shimano being potentially linked to OEM deals)

7
1 day ago
groghunter wrote:
See my above about trendchasing, though.  WCDH has had more than a few "that'll never catch on" followed by "we're obviously all doing this in the...

See my above about trendchasing, though.  WCDH has had more than a few "that'll never catch on" followed by "we're obviously all doing this in the next 3 months because someone is doing it and winning" moments in the past. all of the recent wheelsize changes had very quick adoption once someone won or podiumed on it.

If it's trend chasing then kudos on the marketing strategy. Wheel size seems a bit different since it had already become dominant in other disciplines and felt inevitable. But it is similar in that you have to design a new bike, so if there does seem to be a lot of success above expectations we'll see some scrambling to develop new bikes.

1
Dodgems
Posts
24
Joined
5/11/2017
Location
Antwerp BE
1 day ago
Does anyone have insight on additional financial support for all these teams switching to belt drives? It doesn't seem like the low (and further decreasing) probability...

Does anyone have insight on additional financial support for all these teams switching to belt drives? It doesn't seem like the low (and further decreasing) probability of winning a mere $100,000 would move the needle any meaningful amount. The most plausible reasons would be additional sponsorship funds from the belt associated brands or hoping to take advantage of the seemingly disproportionate publicity about the $100,000 prize. Additional sponsorship seems most likely, wondering if that's documented anywhere.

As I have said, no way do the financials add up: to produce a fleet of bikes for a team is more than 100k. Something else...

As I have said, no way do the financials add up: to produce a fleet of bikes for a team is more than 100k. Something else is going on. Plus, half these teams realize they will not win it.

metadave wrote:
Yes, something else is happening. All of the following is a guess, but I think a pretty good one. Gates, a company already well known for Motorcycle...

Yes, something else is happening. All of the following is a guess, but I think a pretty good one. 

Gates, a company already well known for Motorcycle belts and that according to google, has $830m in revenue but has only dabbled in cycling in the fringes for years is saying LFG. They likely want in on the E-bike market as mixed motors/drivetrains evolve and full power E-bikes ditch derailleurs because lets be honest, traditional drivetrains just don't hold up as well under an e-bike mashing, and they know DH is going to test the to the limits. This is going to be their entry point and they likely know E-bikes will switch over to a more inside motor based drivetrain in the next few years as the designs improve. 

Pinion already has units that can do it, and I bet Bosch, Brose (Spesh/Sram) and others will have matching stuff soon. Gates wants to drive the acceptance of belts as a standard, that they are built to last, and are just as good as chains without the hassle. Like anything else, best examples right now being electric cars or private space flight, it'll start out crude and with lots of room for improvement, but with people using them, suddenly have lots of investment to drive R&D, and as they get better, that's when you'll start to see wider acceptance and better performance. 

This is the only thing that really makes sense with the project, as lighter weight bikes using gear boxes doesn't make a ton of sense unless they can get the weight down to current DT weights and prices, but E-bikes using a complete motor drivetrain with a belt absolutely makes sense and they're willing to put up cash not only to these teams, but sponsor them as well, I'm betting footing a pretty big bill for each if they were doing a whole press release with all the teams they had on their roster. IFR was on the ropes and now they have new and bigger name riders, AON coming out of no where with likely a stacked team, Atherton coming back in from everything thinking they weren't even going to be a team next year and MS doesn't really mess around with trying to get the best deals, or he wouldn't have had a top team thats been around for almost 20 years. It kind of starts to make sense that they switched to a company as small as Zerode if Gates wanted a 4th manufacturer to sponsor with a top team after Intense built that bike for them and there's one sitting there, ready to go.

It's Gates-gate...

 

MV5BNzIxZmIzYjEtZGMyZi00NDAwLWJmODktYTAwOWU2ZjkwZjdlXkEyXkFqcGc%40. V1

It's Gates-gate...

 

priceless.

3
groghunter
Posts
87
Joined
5/18/2013
Location
Tucson, AZ US
1 day ago
groghunter wrote:
See my above about trendchasing, though.  WCDH has had more than a few "that'll never catch on" followed by "we're obviously all doing this in the...

See my above about trendchasing, though.  WCDH has had more than a few "that'll never catch on" followed by "we're obviously all doing this in the next 3 months because someone is doing it and winning" moments in the past. all of the recent wheelsize changes had very quick adoption once someone won or podiumed on it.

If it's trend chasing then kudos on the marketing strategy. Wheel size seems a bit different since it had already become dominant in other disciplines and...

If it's trend chasing then kudos on the marketing strategy. Wheel size seems a bit different since it had already become dominant in other disciplines and felt inevitable. But it is similar in that you have to design a new bike, so if there does seem to be a lot of success above expectations we'll see some scrambling to develop new bikes.

i wouldn't say that mixed wheels was dominant in other disciplines, and even full 29 kinda came to DH and Enduro close to the same time.

1
Losifer
Posts
361
Joined
9/12/2017
Location
Sandia Park, NM US
1 day ago
Frame silhouette looks a lot like the Allied BC40. Allied + SRAM would make sense, given that Allied already supports a number of US-based privateers and...

Frame silhouette looks a lot like the Allied BC40. Allied + SRAM would make sense, given that Allied already supports a number of US-based privateers and Kate has been with SRAM for a long time.

I am slightly surprised to see Kate on a self-organized program. That would not have been my prediction. 

Hmm, yeah, I can see that. I'm a bit surprised as well, but the fact that some members of the Walton family now own Allied, maybe this was a strategic move for her foundation?

 

ssk
Posts
34
Joined
7/15/2010
Location
drifting around, TX US
1 day ago
chriskief wrote:
For those playing along at home, here’s where we stand with the most ridiculous rumors so far…#3 - Phoebe Gale off FMD, going to Reece Wilson’s...

For those playing along at home, here’s where we stand with the most ridiculous rumors so far…

#3 - Phoebe Gale off FMD, going to Reece Wilson’s new AON team, after being prominently featured in the Orbea FMD press release.

#2 - Aaron Gwin back to mentor the kids on lower budget Trek Factory after becoming a partner in Crestline bikes last year.

#1 - Old man Dan Atherton returning to stomp $$$ DH podiums on a prototype belt drive after his most recent 57th at a 2018 Crankworx stop.

There’s a few others close to the top 3, but unfortunately we’re no longer doing 5 rider podiums.

chriskief wrote:
Alright, back to having a little bit of fun...In a surprise to many, the #3 Phoebe Gale rumor turns out to be false. She is sticking...

Alright, back to having a little bit of fun...

In a surprise to many, the #3 Phoebe Gale rumor turns out to be false. She is sticking with FMD as predicted by... the Orbea FMD press release.

However, #1 is still going strong with Atherton confirmed on Gates. Come on Dan, time for a come back! Get that bag!

chriskief wrote:
With Trek's announcement today, it looks like #2 "Gwin back to Trek" fantasies have come to an end. Perhaps being a part owner of another bike...

With Trek's announcement today, it looks like #2 "Gwin back to Trek" fantasies have come to an end. Perhaps being a part owner of another bike company was a deal breaker.

All eyes on you Dan Atherton.

How about Gwin back to Yeti? has that been considered?

1
4
jbmccrar
Posts
35
Joined
9/26/2019
Location
Seattle, WA US
1 day ago
lawn dart wrote:
I actually can't imagine a better, potentially-reachable goal, than getting rid of a rear derailleur.  It's been discussed for ages, but seeing it tested consistently for...

I actually can't imagine a better, potentially-reachable goal, than getting rid of a rear derailleur.  It's been discussed for ages, but seeing it tested consistently for the last few years, makes me wonder if they aren't "getting closer"? Not having a potential race-ending derailleur break, or chain break is a very significant advantage if all other things are equal.  Being able to bash through any course with extended rock gardens would mean seconds of advantage in a 3 minute run.

I'd put flat tire elimination at the top of the list, but that's just me...

Mtbbeta wrote:
I love the belt drive & Pinion innovation but.... How many UCI DH race runs were lost last year to a broken mech or broken chain...

I love the belt drive & Pinion innovation but.... How many UCI DH race runs were lost last year to a broken mech or broken chain? I can't recall a single one. 

Maybe not on the race run. But there were lots of broken mechs in practice and quali.  Keeping the bike together during practice and maximizing that time (especially when its limited) is critical.  Luca mentioned in the downtime podcast, how Fabien harps on the canyon crew for setting the bike down on the mech side because of this exact reason. Its all about removing variables. 

5
ethanrevitch
Posts
69
Joined
11/5/2020
Location
Mill Valley, CA US
1 day ago
casey79 wrote:

Commencal Muc-Off leaving Fox suspension. 

 

They’re already on SRAM I have a feeling they’ll be running RockShox next season instead..?

2
3
owl-x
Posts
435
Joined
3/23/2016
Location
Seattle, WA US
1 day ago

Pic above shows Vergier with a Boxxer 

4
lloyd506
Posts
152
Joined
7/10/2016
Location
CA
1 day ago
casey79 wrote:

Commencal Muc-Off leaving Fox suspension. 

 

They’re already on SRAM I have a feeling they’ll be running RockShox next season instead..?

Didn’t they use trp brakes last season? 

2
casey79
Posts
278
Joined
3/21/2010
Location
AU
1 day ago

They’re already on SRAM I have a feeling they’ll be running RockShox next season instead..?

Rockshox it is

image 140.png?VersionId=dghjzcDDNOs CqZpFjDQpaLv3djHA
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